The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Yamax Corp. (TYO:5285) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Yamax
What Is Yamax's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Yamax had JP¥2.32b of debt at December 2020, down from JP¥2.75b a year prior. However, it also had JP¥977.0m in cash, and so its net debt is JP¥1.34b.
A Look At Yamax's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Yamax had liabilities of JP¥7.50b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥1.54b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥977.0m in cash and JP¥4.24b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total JP¥3.83b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's JP¥2.55b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Yamax's net debt is only 1.3 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 70.4 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Fortunately, Yamax grew its EBIT by 8.2% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Yamax's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Yamax actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
Yamax's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to handle its total liabilities. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Yamax's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Yamax , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About TSE:5285
Yamax
Engages in the manufacture and sale of concrete and cement products for the construction and civil engineering projects in Japan.
Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.