The board of Shiseido Company, Limited (TSE:4911) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥30.00 per share on the 27th of March. This means the dividend yield will be fairly typical at 1.9%.
View our latest analysis for Shiseido Company
Estimates Indicate Shiseido Company's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 240% of what it was earning. This situation certainly isn't ideal, and could place significant strain on the balance sheet if it continues.
The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 35.4%. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 195%, which is a bit high and could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥20.00 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥60.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Earnings per share has been sinking by 31% over the last five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.
We're Not Big Fans Of Shiseido Company's Dividend
Overall, this isn't a great candidate as an income investment, even though the dividend was stable this year. The company seems to be stretching itself a bit to make such big payments, but it doesn't appear they can be consistent over time. Considering all of these factors, we wouldn't rely on this dividend if we wanted to live on the income.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 4 warning signs for Shiseido Company (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Shiseido Company not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4911
Shiseido Company
Engages in the production and sale of cosmetics in Japan and internationally.
Very undervalued with reasonable growth potential.