Stock Analysis

Need To Know: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their MedPeer,Inc. (TSE:6095) Estimates

TSE:6095
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The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for MedPeer,Inc. (TSE:6095), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.

After the downgrade, the consensus from MedPeerInc's four analysts is for revenues of JP¥12b in 2025, which would reflect an uneasy 19% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to shrink 2.8% to JP¥28.55 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of JP¥15b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥34.28 in 2025. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a considerable drop in earnings per share numbers as well.

View our latest analysis for MedPeerInc

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSE:6095 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 21st 2024

Analysts made no major changes to their price target of JP¥660, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on MedPeerInc's valuation.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 19% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 31% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 14% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that MedPeerInc's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. We're also surprised to see that the price target went unchanged. Still, deteriorating business conditions (assuming accurate forecasts!) can be a leading indicator for the stock price, so we wouldn't blame investors for being more cautious on MedPeerInc after the downgrade.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple MedPeerInc analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.