Stock Analysis

3 Japanese Exchange Stocks Estimated To Be Trading At Intrinsic Discounts Ranging From 19.2% To 48%

TSE:4480
Source: Shutterstock

Amid a backdrop of global economic shifts, Japan's stock markets have recently seen significant gains, with indices like the Nikkei 225 and TOPIX reaching all-time highs. This surge is particularly noteworthy given the broader context of weakening yen and rising wage figures, setting an intriguing stage for investors looking at potentially undervalued stocks in this market. In environments like this, discerning investors often seek stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value, aiming to capitalize on adjustments when the market corrects these discrepancies.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Japan

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Link and Motivation (TSE:2170)¥470.00¥924.8149.2%
Hibino (TSE:2469)¥2600.00¥5176.3149.8%
Fujibo Holdings (TSE:3104)¥4795.00¥9437.5949.2%
Sumco (TSE:3436)¥2430.00¥4605.0447.2%
S-Pool (TSE:2471)¥321.00¥621.0248.3%
Medley (TSE:4480)¥3725.00¥7103.4247.6%
Macromill (TSE:3978)¥859.00¥1669.3848.5%
Yokowo (TSE:6800)¥2037.00¥3910.1047.9%
DKS (TSE:4461)¥3810.00¥7263.1447.5%
Money Forward (TSE:3994)¥5400.00¥10386.9948%

Click here to see the full list of 90 stocks from our Undervalued Japanese Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's take a closer look at a couple of our picks from the screened companies

Money Forward (TSE:3994)

Overview: Money Forward, Inc. offers financial solutions to individuals, financial institutions, and corporations mainly in Japan, with a market capitalization of approximately ¥294.43 billion.

Operations: The firm generates its revenue by providing financial solutions across three main segments: individuals, financial institutions, and corporations in Japan.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 48%

Money Forward, currently priced at ¥5400, is significantly undervalued based on cash flows with a fair value estimated at ¥10386.99, indicating a potential underpricing of 48%. The company's earnings are expected to grow by 64.54% annually, and it is forecast to become profitable within the next three years. Despite its revenue growth projection of 19.9% per year—above the Japanese market average—its share price has shown high volatility recently. Upcoming structural changes include business splits and mergers set for late 2024, which could influence future financial stability and growth trajectories.

TSE:3994 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024
TSE:3994 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024

Medley (TSE:4480)

Overview: Medley, Inc. operates platforms for recruitment and medical businesses in Japan, with a market capitalization of approximately ¥120.86 billion.

Operations: The firm focuses on platforms targeting the recruitment and medical sectors.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 47.6%

Medley, trading at ¥3725, is valued significantly below its estimated fair value of ¥7103.42, presenting a 47.6% undervaluation. Despite its highly volatile share price recently, Medley's earnings have expanded by 90.3% over the past year and are projected to grow at an annual rate of 28.68%. The company forecasts robust revenue growth at 24.9% per year, outpacing the Japanese market forecast of 4.3%. Recently, Medley raised its fiscal year guidance, expecting higher profits and sales than previously anticipated.

TSE:4480 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024
TSE:4480 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024

NSK (TSE:6471)

Overview: NSK Ltd. operates globally, manufacturing and selling industrial machinery bearings, automotive products, and precision machinery and parts, with a market capitalization of approximately ¥391.44 billion.

Operations: The firm's revenue is derived from the sale of industrial machinery bearings, automotive products, and precision machinery and parts across various global markets.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 19.2%

NSK Ltd., priced at ¥801, trades below its computed fair value of ¥991.87, indicating a potential undervaluation. While its revenue growth of 4.9% per year is modestly above the Japanese market average of 4.3%, the company's earnings are expected to surge by 27.07% annually over the next three years, outperforming the market projection of 8.9%. However, its return on equity is projected to remain low at 5.5%, and its dividend coverage is weak, reflecting financial constraints despite growth prospects.

TSE:6471 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024
TSE:6471 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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