NSK Ltd.

TSE:6471 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥325.4b

NSK Valuation

Is 6471 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6471 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6471 (¥666.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥751.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6471 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6471?

Key metric: As 6471 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6471. This is calculated by dividing 6471's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6471's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.4x
EarningsJP¥11.44b
Market CapJP¥325.39b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6471's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6471 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.8x
6268 Nabtesco
47.7x23.9%JP¥330.3b
6302 Sumitomo Heavy Industries
17.1x14.3%JP¥387.6b
6141 DMG Mori
14.1x23.0%JP¥350.9b
6481 THK
32.4x22.1%JP¥438.1b
6471 NSK
28.5x30.5%JP¥325.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6471 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the peer average (27.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6471's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
6471 28.4xIndustry Avg. 12.3xNo. of Companies43PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6471 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the JP Machinery industry average (12.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6471's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6471 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.4x
Fair PE Ratio21.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6471 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6471 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥666.60
JP¥785.00
+17.8%
15.0%JP¥950.00JP¥550.00n/a10
Dec ’25JP¥658.00
JP¥811.11
+23.3%
13.6%JP¥950.00JP¥550.00n/a9
Nov ’25JP¥680.50
JP¥822.22
+20.8%
10.4%JP¥950.00JP¥650.00n/a9
Oct ’25JP¥725.10
JP¥857.78
+18.3%
7.7%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a9
Sep ’25JP¥750.70
JP¥857.78
+14.3%
7.7%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a9
Aug ’25JP¥763.10
JP¥865.56
+13.4%
7.5%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a9
Jul ’25JP¥794.00
JP¥855.00
+7.7%
7.2%JP¥920.00JP¥750.00n/a8
Jun ’25JP¥769.90
JP¥855.00
+11.1%
7.2%JP¥920.00JP¥750.00n/a8
May ’25JP¥861.10
JP¥830.00
-3.6%
9.0%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a8
Apr ’25JP¥876.30
JP¥818.75
-6.6%
8.6%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a8
Mar ’25JP¥830.90
JP¥818.75
-1.5%
8.6%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a8
Feb ’25JP¥804.80
JP¥870.00
+8.1%
12.2%JP¥1,100.00JP¥750.00n/a8
Jan ’25JP¥763.00
JP¥897.50
+17.6%
13.3%JP¥1,100.00JP¥750.00n/a8
Dec ’24JP¥777.60
JP¥897.78
+15.5%
12.5%JP¥1,100.00JP¥750.00JP¥658.009
Nov ’24JP¥780.40
JP¥915.56
+17.3%
11.8%JP¥1,100.00JP¥780.00JP¥680.509
Oct ’24JP¥841.20
JP¥940.00
+11.7%
10.6%JP¥1,100.00JP¥800.00JP¥725.109
Sep ’24JP¥851.10
JP¥940.00
+10.4%
10.6%JP¥1,100.00JP¥800.00JP¥750.709
Aug ’24JP¥877.00
JP¥1,000.00
+14.0%
7.8%JP¥1,100.00JP¥850.00JP¥763.109
Jul ’24JP¥917.40
JP¥955.00
+4.1%
10.9%JP¥1,100.00JP¥720.00JP¥794.0010
Jun ’24JP¥836.00
JP¥904.00
+8.1%
14.9%JP¥1,100.00JP¥710.00JP¥769.9010
May ’24JP¥783.00
JP¥814.00
+4.0%
16.3%JP¥1,100.00JP¥700.00JP¥861.1010
Apr ’24JP¥756.00
JP¥814.00
+7.7%
16.3%JP¥1,100.00JP¥700.00JP¥876.3010
Mar ’24JP¥765.00
JP¥794.50
+3.9%
14.8%JP¥1,100.00JP¥700.00JP¥830.9010
Feb ’24JP¥731.00
JP¥795.50
+8.8%
14.4%JP¥1,100.00JP¥700.00JP¥804.8010
Jan ’24JP¥701.00
JP¥819.00
+16.8%
14.4%JP¥1,100.00JP¥700.00JP¥763.0010
Dec ’23JP¥754.00
JP¥827.00
+9.7%
14.2%JP¥1,100.00JP¥700.00JP¥777.6010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 17:00
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

NSK Ltd. is covered by 25 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Tsutomu KijimaBarclays
Hideyuki MizunoBofA Global Research
Graeme McDonaldCitigroup Global Markets Japan Inc.