NSK Ltd.

TSE:6471 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥332.6b

NSK Valuation

Is 6471 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6471 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6471 (¥678.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1053.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6471 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6471?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

6471 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA2.4x
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6471's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6471 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27x
268A Rigaku Holdings
25.8xn/aJP¥281.6b
6268 Nabtesco
41.9x24.0%JP¥290.1b
6481 THK
22.9x20.9%JP¥308.9b
6302 Sumitomo Heavy Industries
17.4x16.8%JP¥393.6b
6471 NSK
29x29.1%JP¥332.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6471 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the peer average (27x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6471's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.6%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.6%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6471 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the JP Machinery industry average (12x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6471's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6471 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29x
Fair PE Ratio21x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6471 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6471 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥678.50
JP¥822.22
+21.2%
10.4%JP¥950.00JP¥650.00n/a9
Oct ’25JP¥725.10
JP¥857.78
+18.3%
7.7%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a9
Sep ’25JP¥750.70
JP¥857.78
+14.3%
7.7%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a9
Aug ’25JP¥763.10
JP¥865.56
+13.4%
7.5%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a9
Jul ’25JP¥794.00
JP¥855.00
+7.7%
7.2%JP¥920.00JP¥750.00n/a8
Jun ’25JP¥769.90
JP¥855.00
+11.1%
7.2%JP¥920.00JP¥750.00n/a8
May ’25JP¥861.10
JP¥830.00
-3.6%
9.0%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a8
Apr ’25JP¥876.30
JP¥818.75
-6.6%
8.6%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a8
Mar ’25JP¥830.90
JP¥818.75
-1.5%
8.6%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a8
Feb ’25JP¥804.80
JP¥870.00
+8.1%
12.2%JP¥1,100.00JP¥750.00n/a8
Jan ’25JP¥763.00
JP¥897.50
+17.6%
13.3%JP¥1,100.00JP¥750.00n/a8
Dec ’24JP¥777.60
JP¥897.78
+15.5%
12.5%JP¥1,100.00JP¥750.00n/a9
Nov ’24JP¥780.40
JP¥915.56
+17.3%
11.8%JP¥1,100.00JP¥780.00JP¥680.509
Oct ’24JP¥841.20
JP¥940.00
+11.7%
10.6%JP¥1,100.00JP¥800.00JP¥725.109
Sep ’24JP¥851.10
JP¥940.00
+10.4%
10.6%JP¥1,100.00JP¥800.00JP¥750.709
Aug ’24JP¥877.00
JP¥1,000.00
+14.0%
7.8%JP¥1,100.00JP¥850.00JP¥763.109
Jul ’24JP¥917.40
JP¥955.00
+4.1%
10.9%JP¥1,100.00JP¥720.00JP¥794.0010
Jun ’24JP¥836.00
JP¥904.00
+8.1%
14.9%JP¥1,100.00JP¥710.00JP¥769.9010
May ’24JP¥783.00
JP¥814.00
+4.0%
16.3%JP¥1,100.00JP¥700.00JP¥861.1010
Apr ’24JP¥756.00
JP¥814.00
+7.7%
16.3%JP¥1,100.00JP¥700.00JP¥876.3010
Mar ’24JP¥765.00
JP¥794.50
+3.9%
14.8%JP¥1,100.00JP¥700.00JP¥830.9010
Feb ’24JP¥731.00
JP¥795.50
+8.8%
14.4%JP¥1,100.00JP¥700.00JP¥804.8010
Jan ’24JP¥701.00
JP¥819.00
+16.8%
14.4%JP¥1,100.00JP¥700.00JP¥763.0010
Dec ’23JP¥754.00
JP¥827.00
+9.7%
14.2%JP¥1,100.00JP¥700.00JP¥777.6010
Nov ’23JP¥785.00
JP¥838.00
+6.8%
13.3%JP¥1,100.00JP¥700.00JP¥780.4010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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