Nabtesco Corporation

TSE:6268 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥283.3b

Nabtesco Valuation

Is 6268 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6268 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6268 (¥2358.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥1405.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6268 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6268?

Key metric: As 6268 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6268. This is calculated by dividing 6268's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6268's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio40.9x
EarningsJP¥6.92b
Market CapJP¥283.31b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6268's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6268 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.3x
6471 NSK
28.5x29.5%JP¥325.8b
6302 Sumitomo Heavy Industries
17x15.2%JP¥387.2b
6481 THK
31.5x22.4%JP¥426.1b
6005 Miura
20x10.7%JP¥415.8b
6268 Nabtesco
40.9x23.9%JP¥283.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6268 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.9x) compared to the peer average (24.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6268's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
6268 40.9xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies39PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6268 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.9x) compared to the JP Machinery industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6268's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6268 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40.9x
Fair PE Ratio19.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6268 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6268 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,358.50
JP¥2,676.00
+13.5%
14.0%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,240.00n/a10
Nov ’25JP¥2,415.00
JP¥2,720.00
+12.6%
14.6%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,230.00n/a10
Oct ’25JP¥2,514.00
JP¥2,760.00
+9.8%
15.6%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,230.00n/a10
Sep ’25JP¥2,478.50
JP¥2,820.00
+13.8%
14.5%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,230.00n/a10
Aug ’25JP¥2,609.00
JP¥2,850.00
+9.2%
13.3%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,230.00n/a10
Jul ’25JP¥2,750.00
JP¥2,850.00
+3.6%
13.3%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,230.00n/a10
Jun ’25JP¥2,573.50
JP¥2,850.00
+10.7%
13.3%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,230.00n/a10
May ’25JP¥2,841.50
JP¥2,750.00
-3.2%
15.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,200.00n/a10
Apr ’25JP¥2,643.50
JP¥2,777.00
+5.1%
13.6%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,200.00n/a10
Mar ’25JP¥2,505.50
JP¥2,777.00
+10.8%
13.6%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,200.00n/a10
Feb ’25JP¥2,814.50
JP¥2,980.00
+5.9%
16.6%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,300.00n/a10
Jan ’25JP¥2,877.50
JP¥2,980.00
+3.6%
16.6%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,300.00n/a10
Dec ’24JP¥2,724.50
JP¥2,981.82
+9.4%
15.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,400.00n/a11
Nov ’24JP¥2,630.00
JP¥3,041.67
+15.7%
14.3%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,415.0012
Oct ’24JP¥2,696.50
JP¥3,125.00
+15.9%
15.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,514.0012
Sep ’24JP¥2,762.50
JP¥3,233.33
+17.0%
12.1%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,478.5012
Aug ’24JP¥2,821.00
JP¥3,491.67
+23.8%
9.7%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,609.0012
Jul ’24JP¥3,159.00
JP¥3,476.92
+10.1%
9.9%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,750.0013
Jun ’24JP¥3,105.00
JP¥3,479.29
+12.1%
9.4%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,573.5014
May ’24JP¥3,140.00
JP¥3,579.29
+14.0%
10.9%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,841.5014
Apr ’24JP¥3,240.00
JP¥3,636.43
+12.2%
10.3%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,643.5014
Mar ’24JP¥3,565.00
JP¥3,681.43
+3.3%
11.2%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,505.5014
Feb ’24JP¥3,700.00
JP¥3,549.23
-4.1%
12.9%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,814.5013
Jan ’24JP¥3,365.00
JP¥3,533.85
+5.0%
12.8%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,877.5013
Dec ’23JP¥3,395.00
JP¥3,492.86
+2.9%
13.2%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,724.5014
Nov ’23JP¥3,150.00
JP¥3,504.29
+11.2%
15.9%JP¥5,000.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,630.0014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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