Nabtesco (6268) Stock Overview
Manufactures and sells industrial robot parts, construction machinery, railway vehicle brake systems, and automatic doors, aircraft parts, automobile brakes and drive controls, marine, and platform safety products in Japan and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 4/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 3/6 |
6268 Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Nabtesco Corporation Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | JP¥5,313.00 |
| 52 Week High | JP¥6,113.00 |
| 52 Week Low | JP¥2,435.00 |
| Beta | 0.99 |
| 1 Month Change | -0.30% |
| 3 Month Change | 22.50% |
| 1 Year Change | 115.10% |
| 3 Year Change | 57.94% |
| 5 Year Change | 27.56% |
| Change since IPO | 964.73% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jun 09
6268: Refined Risk And Earnings Assumptions Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have kept Nabtesco's fair value estimate steady at ¥6,300, with only small tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions guiding this latest price target update. What's in the News No recent company specific news items are available from the provided sources, so current market pricing for Nabtesco is being assessed mainly against existing valuation assumptions.
Narrative Update • May 26
6268: Lower Revenue Outlook Will Likely Keep Shares Vulnerable To Repricing
Analysts have nudged their price target on Nabtesco slightly lower to about ¥3,448 from roughly ¥3,449, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that leave the stock's fair value view broadly unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value: trimmed slightly to ¥3,447.63 from ¥3,449.50, leaving the overall valuation level broadly similar.Narrative Update • May 07
6268: Higher Margin Assumptions Will Likely Fail To Offset Execution Risks
Analysts now set Nabtesco's fair value at ¥3,449, up from ¥3,070, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: revised from ¥3,070 to ¥3,449, indicating a higher estimated equity value per share based on the updated model inputs.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 09
6268: Refined Risk And Earnings Assumptions Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have kept Nabtesco's fair value estimate steady at ¥6,300, with only small tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions guiding this latest price target update. What's in the News No recent company specific news items are available from the provided sources, so current market pricing for Nabtesco is being assessed mainly against existing valuation assumptions.Narrative Update • May 26
6268: Lower Revenue Outlook Will Likely Keep Shares Vulnerable To Repricing
Analysts have nudged their price target on Nabtesco slightly lower to about ¥3,448 from roughly ¥3,449, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that leave the stock's fair value view broadly unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value: trimmed slightly to ¥3,447.63 from ¥3,449.50, leaving the overall valuation level broadly similar.Narrative Update • May 07
6268: Higher Margin Assumptions Will Likely Fail To Offset Execution Risks
Analysts now set Nabtesco's fair value at ¥3,449, up from ¥3,070, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: revised from ¥3,070 to ¥3,449, indicating a higher estimated equity value per share based on the updated model inputs.Narrative Update • Apr 21
6268: Higher Revenue Assumptions Will Likely Fail To Offset Execution Risks
Analysts have raised their price target on Nabtesco slightly, from ¥3,050 to ¥3,070, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that align with a recent upgrade in Street research. Analyst Commentary While the latest target revision on Nabtesco is slightly higher, bearish analysts remain cautious and highlight several areas where they see risk around the current valuation and the company’s ability to deliver on expectations.Narrative Update • Apr 06
6268: Higher Earnings Visibility And Refined Risk Assumptions Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Nabtesco from ¥5,660 to ¥6,300, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin expectations, and future P/E multiples reflected in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive stance on Nabtesco, with bullish analysts framing the updated fair value estimate of ¥6,300 as better aligned with their refreshed view on risk, earnings power, and market multiples.Narrative Update • Mar 22
6268: Higher Revenue Assumptions Will Likely Fail To Offset Softer Margins
Analysts have maintained their Nabtesco price target at ¥3,050, citing updated assumptions that reflect a slightly lower discount rate, higher revenue growth expectations, modestly softer profit margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more balanced stance on Nabtesco, with some bullish arguments around the revised assumptions and a group of Bearish analysts flagging areas where the risk and reward do not yet look compelling.Narrative Update • Mar 08
6268: Raised Fair Value And Lower Risk Will Support Future Returns
Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Nabtesco from ¥5,100 to ¥5,660, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E following recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has highlighted a more constructive stance on Nabtesco, with bullish analysts updating their models and valuation work after reviewing the latest assumptions and market inputs.
Narrative Update • Feb 22
6268: Higher Revenue Assumptions Will Likely Leave Limited Downside Protection
Analysts have revised their price target for Nabtesco to about ¥4,136 from roughly ¥3,555, citing updated views on revenue growth, profitability and a slightly adjusted discount rate following recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher price target of about ¥4,136 as better aligned with their updated expectations for Nabtesco's revenue outlook and profitability assumptions.Narrative Update • Feb 08
6268: Higher Fair Value And Share Cancellations Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Nabtesco from ¥4,400 to ¥5,100, pointing to updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple as key drivers of the new target. Analyst Commentary Analysts pointing to the new ¥5,100 fair value say the move reflects updated thinking on how Nabtesco can execute on its revenue and margin plans, as well as what they see as a more appropriate future P/E multiple for the business.Narrative Update • Jan 24
6268: Future Share Buybacks And Margin Assumptions Will Likely Prove Overly Optimistic
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Nabtesco from ¥2,250 to ¥3,050, reflecting updated assumptions that include a higher discount rate, a small revenue contraction, improved profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Nabtesco plans a board meeting on November 28, 2025, to review a new management structure, consider changes in officers, and discuss the cancellation of treasury shares (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Jan 10
Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want...Narrative Update • Jan 10
6268: Share Cancellations And Discontinued Operations Will Support Higher Future Returns
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Nabtesco unchanged at ¥4,400. This reflects slightly higher assumed profit margins and a modest adjustment to the discount rate, which together offset more cautious revenue growth expectations and a slightly lower future P/E assumption.Analysis Article • Dec 26
Nabtesco's (TSE:6268) Dividend Will Be ¥40.00
Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) will pay a dividend of ¥40.00 on the 27th of March. This payment means that the...Narrative Update • Dec 26
6268: Share Repurchases And Planned Business Split Will Support Stable Earnings
Analysts have raised their price target for Nabtesco slightly to reflect a modestly lower discount rate and stable long term growth and profitability assumptions. This results in an updated fair value estimate of ¥3,555.45 per share, which is in line with the prior target.Analysis Article • Dec 12
Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥40.00
Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥40.00 per share on the 27th of March...Narrative Update • Dec 12
6268: Earnings Mix Shift And Share Cancellation Will Support Steady Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on Nabtesco from ¥3,451.74 to ¥4,400.00. This reflects expectations of higher future profitability supported by a modestly increased discount rate and a richer assumed valuation multiple, despite slightly lower revenue growth assumptions.Analysis Article • Nov 28
Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥40.00
The board of Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 27th of March, with...Narrative Update • Nov 27
6268: Repurchase Activity And Steady Margins Will Balance Business Split Effects
Analysts have marginally raised their price target for Nabtesco, increasing it from ¥3,528.18 to ¥3,555.45. This change reflects slight adjustments in model assumptions, including lower revenue growth forecasts and a modest increase in the discount rate.Analysis Article • Nov 26
Market Participants Recognise Nabtesco Corporation's (TSE:6268) Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.8x Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) may be sending very bearish...Analysis Article • Nov 11
Nabtesco's (TSE:6268) Dividend Will Be ¥40.00
The board of Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 27th of March, with...Narrative Update • Nov 06
6268: Profit Margin Outlook Will Offset Impact Of Business Split
Analysts have raised their price target for Nabtesco from ¥3,374 to ¥3,528, citing an improved profit margin outlook, which offsets slower revenue growth. What's in the News Nabtesco revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2025.Analysis Article • Oct 28
Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥40.00
Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) will pay a dividend of ¥40.00 on the 27th of March. This means that the annual...Narrative Update • Oct 23
Analysts Lift Nabtesco Price Target Amid Buyback Program and Improved Revenue Forecasts
Analysts have raised their price target for Nabtesco to ¥3,374 from ¥3,283, citing modest improvements in projected revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Nabtesco completed the repurchase of 1,796,100 shares for ¥5,638.62 million, representing 1.49% of issued shares, as part of its buyback program.Analysis Article • Oct 06
Here's What's Concerning About Nabtesco's (TSE:6268) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect...Narrative Update • Sep 26
Smart Automation And Precision Gears Will Drive Success
Despite a decline in consensus revenue growth forecasts, a notable improvement in net profit margin has driven analysts to raise Nabtesco’s fair value estimate, reflected in the higher price target of ¥3283. What's in the News Raised full-year guidance: net sales now expected at JPY 344,000 million, operating income at JPY 22,300 million, and net income at JPY 14,600 million, all above previous forecasts.Narrative Update • Sep 11
Smart Automation And Precision Gears Will Drive Success
Despite a reduction in consensus revenue growth forecasts and a modest increase in future P/E, Nabtesco's analyst price target has been slightly raised from ¥3083 to ¥3155. What's in the News Nabtesco raised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2025, forecasting higher net sales, operating income, and net income compared to previous estimates.Analysis Article • Aug 30
Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥40.00
Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥40.00 per share on the 27th of March...Narrative Update • Aug 27
Smart Automation And Precision Gears Will Drive Success
Despite softer consensus revenue growth expectations, an improvement in Nabtesco's net profit margin has led analysts to raise their fair value estimate, with the price target increasing from ¥2,909 to ¥2,985. What's in the News Nabtesco raised its consolidated earnings guidance for FY2025, now expecting net sales of JPY 344,000 million, operating income of JPY 22,300 million, and net income of JPY 14,600 million, all above previous forecasts.Narrative Update • Aug 06
Smart Automation And Precision Gears Will Drive Success
Despite a notable downgrade in revenue growth forecasts and a higher future P/E multiple, analysts have raised Nabtesco’s fair value, increasing the consensus price target from ¥2,753 to ¥2,909. What's in the News Nabtesco announced a share repurchase program of up to 4,000,000 shares (3.3% of issued share capital) for ¥10,000 million, aiming to enhance shareholder value and capital efficiency; repurchased shares will be cancelled.Analysis Article • Aug 05
Nabtesco Corporation Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
TSE:6268 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Nabtesco's Fair Values from the Community and select yours It's been...Analysis Article • Jul 29
Nabtesco Corporation's (TSE:6268) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
Nabtesco Corporation's ( TSE:6268 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.7x might make it look like a strong sell...Analysis Article • Jun 17
Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two...Analysis Article • May 09
Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop There
Shareholders appeared to be happy with Nabtesco Corporation's ( TSE:6268 ) solid earnings report last week. According...Analysis Article • May 04
Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of ¥40.00
Nabtesco Corporation's ( TSE:6268 ) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥40.00 per share on 1st of September...Analysis Article • May 02
Nabtesco Corporation Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Investors in Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) had a good week, as its shares rose 5.2% to close at JP¥2,252 following...Analysis Article • Apr 27
Nabtesco Corporation's (TSE:6268) Popularity With Investors Is Clear
Nabtesco Corporation's ( TSE:6268 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.4x might make it look like a strong sell...Analysis Article • Apr 11
Nabtesco's (TSE:6268) Dividend Will Be ¥40.00
The board of Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥40.00 per share on the 1st...Analysis Article • Apr 03
Nabtesco Corporation's (TSE:6268) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 57% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights The projected fair value for Nabtesco is JP¥3,581 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Analysis Article • Mar 18
Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Nabtesco (TSE:6268)
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
New Narrative • Feb 23
Reviving Potential And Evolving Excellence Will Drive Future Success By FY 2027
The midterm plan focusing on profitability, smart motion control, and diversification aims to boost revenue, operating margins, and earnings growth.Analysis Article • Feb 14
Nabtesco Corporation Just Beat EPS By 6.5%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
There's been a notable change in appetite for Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) shares in the week since its full-year...Analysis Article • Jan 09
Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Nabtesco Corporation's (TSE:6268) Price
When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider...Analysis Article • Dec 02
Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥40.00
Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥40.00 per share on the 27th of March...Analysis Article • Nov 29
Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Typically, we'll want...Analysis Article • Nov 11
Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of ¥40.00
The board of Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 27th of March, with...Analysis Article • Nov 07
Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Shareholders
A lackluster earnings announcement from Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) last week didn't sink the stock price. We...Analysis Article • Nov 04
Nabtesco Corporation Recorded A 5.7% Miss On Revenue: Analysts Are Revisiting Their Models
Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) came out with its quarterly results last week, and we wanted to see how the business...Analysis Article • Oct 20
Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥40.00
The board of Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥40.00 per share on the...Analysis Article • Sep 04
Here's Why Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Sep 04
Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥40.00
Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) will pay a dividend of ¥40.00 on the 27th of March. This means the annual payment is...Analysis Article • Aug 20
With Nabtesco Corporation (TSE:6268) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31x Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) may be sending very bearish signals...Analysis Article • Aug 05
Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥40.00
Nabtesco Corporation ( TSE:6268 ) will pay a dividend of ¥40.00 on the 27th of March. This makes the dividend yield...Shareholder Returns
| 6268 | JP Machinery | JP Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 17.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| 1Y | 115.1% | 50.1% | 43.8% |
Return vs Industry: 6268 exceeded the JP Machinery industry which returned 50.1% over the past year.
Return vs Market: 6268 exceeded the JP Market which returned 43.8% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| 6268 volatility | |
|---|---|
| 6268 Average Weekly Movement | 8.5% |
| Machinery Industry Average Movement | 6.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 4.6% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in JP Market | 9.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in JP Market | 2.4% |
Stable Share Price: 6268's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the JP market.
Volatility Over Time: 6268's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of JP stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | 8,472 | Kazumasa Kimura | www.nabtesco.com |
Nabtesco Corporation manufactures and sells industrial robot parts, construction machinery, railway vehicle brake systems, and automatic doors, aircraft parts, automobile brakes and drive controls, marine, and platform safety products in Japan and internationally. It offers precision reduction gear for component and gear head types; hydraulic equipment, such as traveling units for crawlers, control valves for mini excavators, and swing units for hydraulic excavators; railroad vehicle equipment, such as unit brakes, door operators, and brake operating units; and aircraft equipment comprising flight control actuation systems and high-voltage electric power distribution units. The company also provides air dryers and wedge brake chambers for commercial vehicles, and electric compressors for electric buses; marine vessel equipment; automatic doors and platform doors for buildings; prosthetic knee joints; rollators with speed control systems; and power assist units for wheelchairs.
Nabtesco Corporation Fundamentals Summary
| 6268 fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | JP¥622.65b |
| Earnings (TTM) | JP¥16.44b |
| Revenue (TTM) | JP¥319.91b |
37.9x
P/E Ratio1.9x
P/S RatioIs 6268 overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| 6268 income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | JP¥319.91b |
| Cost of Revenue | JP¥220.46b |
| Gross Profit | JP¥99.44b |
| Other Expenses | JP¥83.01b |
| Earnings | JP¥16.44b |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
Jul 31, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 140.24 |
| Gross Margin | 31.08% |
| Net Profit Margin | 5.14% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 14.9% |
How did 6268 perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
1.5%
Current Dividend Yield58%
Payout RatioDoes 6268 pay a reliable dividends?
See 6268 dividend history and benchmarks| Nabtesco dividend dates | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Date | Jun 29 2026 |
| Dividend Pay Date | Aug 31 2026 |
| Days until Ex dividend | 11 days |
| Days until Dividend pay date | 74 days |
Does 6268 pay a reliable dividends?
See 6268 dividend history and benchmarksCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/17 22:57 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/17 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Nabtesco Corporation is covered by 25 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Kenjin Hotta | BofA Global Research |
| Graeme McDonald | Citigroup Inc |
| Morten Paulsen | CLSA |