Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Kyoritsu Maintenance (TSE:9616) Is Using Debt Extensively

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Kyoritsu Maintenance Co., Ltd. (TSE:9616) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

What Is Kyoritsu Maintenance's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2025 Kyoritsu Maintenance had debt of JP¥160.8b, up from JP¥141.0b in one year. On the flip side, it has JP¥20.6b in cash leading to net debt of about JP¥140.2b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:9616 Debt to Equity History October 4th 2025

How Healthy Is Kyoritsu Maintenance's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Kyoritsu Maintenance had liabilities of JP¥112.2b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥90.3b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥20.6b and JP¥16.4b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥165.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of JP¥243.5b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

See our latest analysis for Kyoritsu Maintenance

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Kyoritsu Maintenance has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.8, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. But its EBIT was about 47.7 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. We note that Kyoritsu Maintenance grew its EBIT by 20% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kyoritsu Maintenance's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Kyoritsu Maintenance saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Neither Kyoritsu Maintenance's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Kyoritsu Maintenance is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Kyoritsu Maintenance that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kyoritsu Maintenance might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.