Kyoritsu Maintenance Co., Ltd.

TSE:9616 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥212.1b

Kyoritsu Maintenance Valuation

Is 9616 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9616 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9616 (¥2689.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥534.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9616 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9616?

Key metric: As 9616 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9616. This is calculated by dividing 9616's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9616's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.6x
EarningsJP¥15.44b
Market CapJP¥212.12b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9616's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9616 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23x
4681 Resorttrust
18.1x3.6%JP¥313.5b
9708 Imperial Hotel
41.9x-8.0%JP¥113.3b
9603 H.I.S
19.1x13.7%JP¥139.8b
9722 Fujita Kanko
12.7x4.7%JP¥113.3b
9616 Kyoritsu Maintenance
13.6x6.5%JP¥212.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9616 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the peer average (23x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9616's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7625 Global-Dining
3.9xn/aUS$24.12m
5534 Angel Group
2.9xn/aUS$22.19m
No more companies available in this PE range
9616 13.6xIndustry Avg. 21.6xNo. of Companies16PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9616 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (21.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9616's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9616 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.6x
Fair PE Ratio23.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9616 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9616 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,689.50
JP¥3,226.67
+20.0%
10.5%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,900.00n/a6
Nov ’25JP¥2,445.50
JP¥3,211.67
+31.3%
11.0%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,870.00n/a6
Oct ’25JP¥2,474.00
JP¥3,211.67
+29.8%
11.0%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,870.00n/a6
Sep ’25JP¥2,400.00
JP¥3,231.67
+34.7%
11.2%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,870.00n/a6
Aug ’25JP¥2,734.50
JP¥3,547.50
+29.7%
6.0%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,300.00n/a6
Jul ’25JP¥2,940.00
JP¥3,547.50
+20.7%
6.0%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,300.00n/a6
Jun ’25JP¥3,101.00
JP¥3,527.50
+13.8%
6.6%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,250.00n/a6
May ’25JP¥3,350.00
JP¥3,527.50
+5.3%
6.6%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,250.00n/a6
Apr ’25JP¥3,433.00
JP¥3,527.50
+2.8%
6.6%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,250.00n/a6
Mar ’25JP¥3,083.50
JP¥3,490.00
+13.2%
8.1%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,050.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥3,030.50
JP¥3,388.00
+11.8%
9.2%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,050.00n/a5
Jan ’25JP¥2,995.00
JP¥3,423.00
+14.3%
9.1%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,050.00n/a5
Dec ’24JP¥2,869.00
JP¥3,393.00
+18.3%
8.7%JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,000.00n/a5
Nov ’24JP¥2,909.50
JP¥3,310.83
+13.8%
9.8%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,445.506
Oct ’24JP¥3,111.00
JP¥3,330.71
+7.1%
9.2%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,474.007
Sep ’24JP¥3,208.50
JP¥3,295.00
+2.7%
11.2%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,400.007
Aug ’24JP¥2,782.00
JP¥3,184.29
+14.5%
11.7%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,625.00JP¥2,734.507
Jul ’24JP¥2,732.00
JP¥3,184.29
+16.6%
11.7%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,625.00JP¥2,940.007
Jun ’24JP¥2,520.00
JP¥3,266.43
+29.6%
8.4%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,101.007
May ’24JP¥2,755.00
JP¥3,266.43
+18.6%
8.4%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,350.007
Apr ’24JP¥2,675.00
JP¥3,266.43
+22.1%
8.4%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,433.007
Mar ’24JP¥2,675.00
JP¥3,195.00
+19.4%
10.8%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,750.00JP¥3,083.507
Feb ’24JP¥2,940.00
JP¥3,195.00
+8.7%
10.8%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,750.00JP¥3,030.507
Jan ’24JP¥2,950.00
JP¥3,195.00
+8.3%
10.8%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,750.00JP¥2,995.007
Dec ’23JP¥2,960.00
JP¥3,152.50
+6.5%
11.3%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,750.00JP¥2,869.006
Nov ’23JP¥3,115.00
JP¥3,098.33
-0.5%
13.8%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,575.00JP¥2,909.506

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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