Resorttrust, Inc.

TSE:4681 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥314.8b

Resorttrust Valuation

Is 4681 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4681 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4681 (¥2982) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3698.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4681 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4681?

Key metric: As 4681 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4681. This is calculated by dividing 4681's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4681's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.2x
EarningsJP¥17.33b
Market CapJP¥314.83b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4681's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4681 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.8x
9616 Kyoritsu Maintenance
13.6x6.1%JP¥210.4b
9708 Imperial Hotel
41.7x-8.0%JP¥113.1b
9603 H.I.S
19x13.7%JP¥131.3b
9722 Fujita Kanko
12.8x4.7%JP¥113.5b
4681 Resorttrust
18.2x3.6%JP¥314.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4681 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the peer average (21.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4681's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7625 Global-Dining
3.9xn/aUS$24.85m
5534 Angel Group
2.9xn/aUS$22.19m
No more companies available in this PE range
4681 18.2xIndustry Avg. 21.6xNo. of Companies16PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4681 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (21.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4681's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4681 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.2x
Fair PE Ratio24.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4681 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4681 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,982.00
JP¥3,195.00
+7.1%
5.7%JP¥3,450.00JP¥2,900.00n/a6
Nov ’25JP¥2,751.00
JP¥3,195.00
+16.1%
5.7%JP¥3,450.00JP¥2,900.00n/a6
Oct ’25JP¥2,854.50
JP¥3,136.67
+9.9%
9.3%JP¥3,450.00JP¥2,550.00n/a6
Sep ’25JP¥2,783.00
JP¥3,086.67
+10.9%
9.2%JP¥3,450.00JP¥2,550.00n/a6
Aug ’25JP¥2,438.00
JP¥3,058.33
+25.4%
9.0%JP¥3,450.00JP¥2,550.00n/a6
Jul ’25JP¥2,355.50
JP¥3,058.33
+29.8%
9.0%JP¥3,450.00JP¥2,550.00n/a6
Jun ’25JP¥2,438.00
JP¥2,991.67
+22.7%
7.9%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,550.00n/a6
May ’25JP¥2,584.00
JP¥2,958.33
+14.5%
7.1%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,550.00n/a6
Apr ’25JP¥2,609.50
JP¥2,958.33
+13.4%
7.1%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,550.00n/a6
Mar ’25JP¥2,531.00
JP¥2,958.33
+16.9%
7.1%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,550.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥2,575.00
JP¥2,858.33
+11.0%
9.7%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,350.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥2,446.00
JP¥2,791.67
+14.1%
8.2%JP¥3,050.00JP¥2,350.00n/a6
Dec ’24JP¥2,247.00
JP¥2,775.00
+23.5%
7.8%JP¥3,050.00JP¥2,350.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥2,178.50
JP¥2,692.86
+23.6%
7.3%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,751.007
Oct ’24JP¥2,233.50
JP¥2,692.86
+20.6%
7.3%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,854.507
Sep ’24JP¥2,361.50
JP¥2,664.29
+12.8%
7.2%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,783.007
Aug ’24JP¥2,243.50
JP¥2,642.86
+17.8%
8.4%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥2,438.007
Jul ’24JP¥2,133.50
JP¥2,642.86
+23.9%
8.4%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥2,355.507
Jun ’24JP¥2,062.00
JP¥2,693.75
+30.6%
10.4%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥2,438.008
May ’24JP¥2,257.00
JP¥2,718.75
+20.5%
9.6%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,584.008
Apr ’24JP¥2,109.00
JP¥2,718.75
+28.9%
9.6%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,609.508
Mar ’24JP¥2,119.00
JP¥2,731.25
+28.9%
9.8%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,531.008
Feb ’24JP¥2,366.00
JP¥2,768.75
+17.0%
9.4%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,575.008
Jan ’24JP¥2,349.00
JP¥2,750.00
+17.1%
9.9%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,446.007
Dec ’23JP¥2,375.00
JP¥2,721.43
+14.6%
9.8%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,247.007
Nov ’23JP¥2,337.00
JP¥2,535.71
+8.5%
10.0%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,150.00JP¥2,178.507

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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