Stock Analysis

Revenues Tell The Story For AIAI Group Corporation (TSE:6557) As Its Stock Soars 39%

AIAI Group Corporation (TSE:6557) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 39% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 285% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about AIAI Group's P/S ratio of 0.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Consumer Services industry in Japan is also close to 0.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for AIAI Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:6557 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 5th 2024

What Does AIAI Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen firmly for AIAI Group recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for AIAI Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For AIAI Group?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like AIAI Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.4%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 33% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 9.8% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in consideration, it's clear to see why AIAI Group's P/S matches up closely to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on assuming the company will continue keeping a low profile.

The Bottom Line On AIAI Group's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now AIAI Group's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we've seen, AIAI Group's three-year revenue trends seem to be contributing to its P/S, given they look similar to current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for AIAI Group (1 is significant) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of AIAI Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:6557

AIAI Group

Operates nursery school and child development support office, and provides after school day services in Japan.

Adequate balance sheet with low risk.

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