Stock Analysis

We Think Fruta Fruta (TSE:2586) Can Easily Afford To Drive Business Growth

TSE:2586
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. By way of example, Fruta Fruta (TSE:2586) has seen its share price rise 317% over the last year, delighting many shareholders. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So notwithstanding the buoyant share price, we think it's well worth asking whether Fruta Fruta's cash burn is too risky. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

See our latest analysis for Fruta Fruta

How Long Is Fruta Fruta's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In September 2024, Fruta Fruta had JP¥1.4b in cash, and was debt-free. In the last year, its cash burn was JP¥434m. So it had a cash runway of about 3.2 years from September 2024. A runway of this length affords the company the time and space it needs to develop the business. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:2586 Debt to Equity History November 30th 2024

How Well Is Fruta Fruta Growing?

Some investors might find it troubling that Fruta Fruta is actually increasing its cash burn, which is up 11% in the last year. Having said that, it's revenue is up a very solid 69% in the last year, so there's plenty of reason to believe in the growth story. The company needs to keep up that growth, if it is to really please shareholders. We think it is growing rather well, upon reflection. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how Fruta Fruta is growing revenue over time by checking this visualization of past revenue growth.

How Hard Would It Be For Fruta Fruta To Raise More Cash For Growth?

We are certainly impressed with the progress Fruta Fruta has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Since it has a market capitalisation of JP¥11b, Fruta Fruta's JP¥434m in cash burn equates to about 3.8% of its market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

Is Fruta Fruta's Cash Burn A Worry?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Fruta Fruta is burning through its cash. For example, we think its revenue growth suggests that the company is on a good path. While its increasing cash burn wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 3 warning signs for Fruta Fruta (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.