Stock Analysis

Nikon (TSE:7731) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥25.00

Nikon Corporation's (TSE:7731) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥25.00 per share on 2nd of December. This means the annual payment is 2.8% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

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Nikon's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, earnings were actually smaller than the dividend, and the company was actually spending more cash than it was making. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating free cash flows is a major warning sign for the sustainability of the dividend as these levels are certainly a bit high.

The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 33.7%. However, if the dividend continues along recent trends, it could start putting pressure on the balance sheet with the payout ratio reaching 101% over the next year.

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TSE:7731 Historic Dividend September 11th 2025

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Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from ¥16.00 total annually to ¥50.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 12% per annum over that time. Nikon has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

Nikon's Dividend Might Lack Growth

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's encouraging to see that Nikon has been growing its earnings per share at 32% a year over the past five years. Although earnings per share is up nicely Nikon is paying out 132% of its earnings as dividends, which we feel is borderline unsustainable without extenuating circumstances.

Nikon's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Nikon's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. Strong earnings growth means Nikon has the potential to be a good dividend stock in the future, despite the current payments being at elevated levels. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 4 warning signs for Nikon (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.