Nikon Valuation

Is 7731 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7731 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7731 (¥1607.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥646.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7731 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7731?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

7731 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.7x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7731's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7731 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.2x
6952 Casio ComputerLtd
27.8x15.4%JP¥301.1b
7740 TamronLtd
12.1x0.8%JP¥131.1b
6632 JVCKENWOOD
10.7x6.8%JP¥124.7b
6752 Panasonic Holdings
6.2x-0.5%JP¥3.1t
7731 Nikon
18.3x14.6%JP¥556.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7731 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the peer average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7731's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Consumer Durables Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7731 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the JP Consumer Durables industry average (12x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7731's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7731 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.3x
Fair PE Ratio19.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7731 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7731 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,607.50
JP¥1,701.11
+5.8%
15.5%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,300.00n/a9
Apr ’25JP¥1,559.00
JP¥1,707.50
+9.5%
17.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,300.00n/a8
Mar ’25JP¥1,539.50
JP¥1,707.50
+10.9%
17.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,300.00n/a8
Feb ’25JP¥1,447.50
JP¥1,677.78
+15.9%
17.5%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,300.00n/a9
Jan ’25JP¥1,396.00
JP¥1,737.78
+24.5%
19.5%JP¥2,250.00JP¥1,300.00n/a9
Dec ’24JP¥1,405.00
JP¥1,740.00
+23.8%
18.0%JP¥2,250.00JP¥1,300.00n/a11
Nov ’24JP¥1,448.50
JP¥1,784.55
+23.2%
16.4%JP¥2,250.00JP¥1,400.00n/a11
Oct ’24JP¥1,576.50
JP¥1,775.45
+12.6%
16.9%JP¥2,250.00JP¥1,400.00n/a11
Sep ’24JP¥1,584.00
JP¥1,760.91
+11.2%
20.2%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,200.00n/a11
Aug ’24JP¥1,904.00
JP¥1,797.27
-5.6%
23.3%JP¥2,650.00JP¥1,200.00n/a11
Jul ’24JP¥1,857.50
JP¥1,690.00
-9.0%
24.7%JP¥2,650.00JP¥1,200.00n/a10
Jun ’24JP¥1,558.00
JP¥1,585.91
+1.8%
17.7%JP¥2,275.00JP¥1,200.00n/a11
May ’24JP¥1,420.00
JP¥1,450.00
+2.1%
13.9%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,200.00n/a11
Apr ’24JP¥1,355.00
JP¥1,445.45
+6.7%
14.2%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,559.0011
Mar ’24JP¥1,367.00
JP¥1,436.00
+5.0%
16.8%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,160.00JP¥1,539.5010
Feb ’24JP¥1,266.00
JP¥1,528.89
+20.8%
19.2%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,160.00JP¥1,447.509
Jan ’24JP¥1,176.00
JP¥1,648.89
+40.2%
16.6%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,396.009
Dec ’23JP¥1,319.00
JP¥1,715.56
+30.1%
16.2%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,405.009
Nov ’23JP¥1,445.00
JP¥1,807.78
+25.1%
18.6%JP¥2,230.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,448.509
Oct ’23JP¥1,367.00
JP¥1,813.40
+32.7%
18.0%JP¥2,230.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,576.5010
Sep ’23JP¥1,540.00
JP¥1,787.23
+16.1%
16.7%JP¥2,230.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,584.0013
Aug ’23JP¥1,517.00
JP¥1,764.31
+16.3%
15.4%JP¥2,150.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,904.0013
Jul ’23JP¥1,512.00
JP¥1,764.31
+16.7%
15.4%JP¥2,150.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,857.5013
Jun ’23JP¥1,651.00
JP¥1,604.31
-2.8%
17.9%JP¥2,150.00JP¥1,080.00JP¥1,558.0013
May ’23JP¥1,471.00
JP¥1,569.00
+6.7%
17.5%JP¥2,150.00JP¥1,080.00JP¥1,420.0013
Apr ’23JP¥1,297.00
JP¥1,452.38
+12.0%
19.6%JP¥1,950.00JP¥950.00JP¥1,355.0013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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