Tamron Co.,Ltd.

TSE:7740 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥179.9b

TamronLtd Valuation

Is 7740 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7740 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7740 (¥4365) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥5161.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7740 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7740?

Key metric: As 7740 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7740. This is calculated by dividing 7740's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7740's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.9x
EarningsJP¥15.08b
Market CapJP¥179.92b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7740's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7740 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.9x
6632 JVCKENWOOD
12.7x4.0%JP¥220.3b
6952 Casio ComputerLtd
16.7x12.6%JP¥244.7b
7731 Nikon
25x25.9%JP¥644.1b
6794 Foster Electric Company
9.3x9.9%JP¥32.9b
7740 TamronLtd
11.9x0.6%JP¥179.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7740 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7740's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Consumer Durables Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
7740 11.9xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies13PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7740 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the JP Consumer Durables industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7740's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7740 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.9x
Fair PE Ratio11.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7740 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7740 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,365.00
JP¥4,537.50
+4.0%
16.6%JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,650.00n/a4
Nov ’25JP¥4,125.00
JP¥4,512.50
+9.4%
16.9%JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,650.00n/a4
Oct ’25JP¥4,515.00
JP¥4,512.50
-0.06%
16.9%JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,650.00n/a4
Sep ’25JP¥4,645.00
JP¥4,512.50
-2.9%
16.9%JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,650.00n/a4
Aug ’25JP¥3,895.00
JP¥4,162.50
+6.9%
12.4%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,650.00n/a4
Jul ’25JP¥4,195.00
JP¥3,825.00
-8.8%
14.6%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,250.00n/a4
Jun ’25JP¥4,420.00
JP¥3,825.00
-13.5%
14.6%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,250.00n/a4
May ’25JP¥4,030.00
JP¥3,506.25
-13.0%
12.1%JP¥4,125.00JP¥3,000.00n/a4
Apr ’25JP¥3,425.00
JP¥3,506.25
+2.4%
12.1%JP¥4,125.00JP¥3,000.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥3,315.00
JP¥3,025.00
-8.7%
5.3%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,800.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥2,780.00
JP¥2,600.00
-6.5%
13.1%JP¥3,050.00JP¥2,200.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥2,660.00
JP¥2,600.00
-2.3%
13.1%JP¥3,050.00JP¥2,200.00n/a4
Dec ’24JP¥2,227.50
JP¥2,600.00
+16.7%
13.1%JP¥3,050.00JP¥2,200.00n/a4
Nov ’24JP¥2,075.00
JP¥2,437.50
+17.5%
15.0%JP¥3,050.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥4,125.004
Oct ’24JP¥2,285.00
JP¥2,437.50
+6.7%
15.0%JP¥3,050.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥4,515.004
Sep ’24JP¥2,250.00
JP¥2,437.50
+8.3%
15.0%JP¥3,050.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥4,645.004
Aug ’24JP¥2,257.50
JP¥2,237.50
-0.9%
21.3%JP¥3,050.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥3,895.004
Jul ’24JP¥2,007.50
JP¥1,966.67
-2.0%
5.2%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥4,195.003
Jun ’24JP¥1,735.00
JP¥1,966.67
+13.4%
5.2%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥4,420.003
May ’24JP¥1,695.00
JP¥1,900.00
+12.1%
3.7%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥4,030.003
Apr ’24JP¥1,572.50
JP¥1,816.67
+15.5%
9.1%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥3,425.003
Mar ’24JP¥1,627.50
JP¥1,783.33
+9.6%
9.3%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥3,315.003
Feb ’24JP¥1,570.00
JP¥1,783.33
+13.6%
9.3%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,780.003
Jan ’24JP¥1,488.00
JP¥1,783.33
+19.8%
9.3%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,660.003
Dec ’23JP¥1,715.00
JP¥1,750.00
+2.0%
10.2%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,227.503
Nov ’23JP¥1,647.50
JP¥1,633.33
-0.9%
16.3%JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,300.00JP¥2,075.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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