The board of Casio Computer Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6952) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 15th of December, with investors receiving ¥22.50 per share. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 3.6%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
Estimates Indicate Casio ComputerLtd's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Before making this announcement, the company's dividend was much higher than its earnings. Without profits and cash flows increasing, it would be difficult for the company to continue paying the dividend at this level.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 21.0%. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 155%, which is a bit high and could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.
See our latest analysis for Casio ComputerLtd
Casio ComputerLtd Has A Solid Track Record
The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥25.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥45.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.1% a year over that time. The dividend has been growing very nicely for a number of years, and has given its shareholders some nice income in their portfolios.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. Casio ComputerLtd's earnings per share has shrunk at 13% a year over the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this becomes a long term trend.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. Although they have been consistent in the past, we think the payments are a little high to be sustained. We don't think Casio ComputerLtd is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, Casio ComputerLtd has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about. Is Casio ComputerLtd not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.