Stock Analysis

Market Cool On Foster Electric Company, Limited's (TSE:6794) Earnings Pushing Shares 25% Lower

TSE:6794
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Foster Electric Company, Limited (TSE:6794) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 42% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Foster Electric Company's P/E ratio of 12.1x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Japan is also close to 13x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Recent times have been advantageous for Foster Electric Company as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Foster Electric Company

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:6794 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Foster Electric Company will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Growth For Foster Electric Company?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Foster Electric Company would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 171%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 23% per annum as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 9.6% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Foster Electric Company is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Foster Electric Company's P/E?

Foster Electric Company's plummeting stock price has brought its P/E right back to the rest of the market. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Foster Electric Company's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Foster Electric Company (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Foster Electric Company's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.