Stock Analysis

Furukawa Electric Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:5801) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 26% Slump

TSE:5801
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Furukawa Electric Co., Ltd. (TSE:5801) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 22% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, Furukawa Electric's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.9x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 13x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Furukawa Electric could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Furukawa Electric

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:5801 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 5th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Furukawa Electric will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Furukawa Electric's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 64%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 35% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 58% each year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 9.6% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Furukawa Electric is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Furukawa Electric's very lofty P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Furukawa Electric's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for Furukawa Electric (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Furukawa Electric's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.