Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Fuji Latex Co., Ltd. (TSE:5199) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Our free stock report includes 4 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in Fuji Latex. Read for free now.When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
What Is Fuji Latex's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Fuji Latex had JP¥5.25b in debt in December 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have JP¥1.98b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about JP¥3.27b.
A Look At Fuji Latex's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Fuji Latex had liabilities of JP¥4.98b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥2.34b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥1.98b and JP¥2.09b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥3.24b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of JP¥2.51b, we think shareholders really should watch Fuji Latex's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
See our latest analysis for Fuji Latex
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.1, it's fair to say Fuji Latex does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 5.9 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Importantly, Fuji Latex's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 55% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Fuji Latex's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Fuji Latex recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 87% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Our View
To be frank both Fuji Latex's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Fuji Latex's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Fuji Latex (including 1 which is concerning) .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:5199
Fuji Latex
Designs, develops, and sells motion controlling devices in Japan.
Established dividend payer and good value.
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