Totetsu Kogyo Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:1835) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥70.00 per share on 8th of December. This makes the dividend yield 3.5%, which is above the industry average.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Totetsu Kogyo's stock price has increased by 33% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
Totetsu Kogyo's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Based on the last payment, Totetsu Kogyo was paying only paying out a fraction of earnings, but the payment was a massive 210% of cash flows. While the business may be attempting to set a balanced dividend policy, a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 3.3% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 49% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
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Totetsu Kogyo Has A Solid Track Record
The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥32.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥140.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16% a year over that time. Rapidly growing dividends for a long time is a very valuable feature for an income stock.
Totetsu Kogyo May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Totetsu Kogyo hasn't seen much change in its earnings per share over the last five years. While growth may be thin on the ground, Totetsu Kogyo could always pay out a higher proportion of earnings to increase shareholder returns.
In Summary
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Totetsu Kogyo that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Totetsu Kogyo not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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