Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Chiyoda Ute Co., Ltd. (TYO:5387) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Chiyoda Ute
How Much Debt Does Chiyoda Ute Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Chiyoda Ute had JP¥10.1b of debt in December 2020, down from JP¥11.6b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of JP¥2.76b, its net debt is less, at about JP¥7.38b.
How Strong Is Chiyoda Ute's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Chiyoda Ute had liabilities of JP¥9.69b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥10.3b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had JP¥2.76b in cash and JP¥6.40b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥10.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of JP¥9.75b, we think shareholders really should watch Chiyoda Ute's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Chiyoda Ute has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.3 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 4.0 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. One redeeming factor for Chiyoda Ute is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of JP¥167m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Chiyoda Ute will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent year, Chiyoda Ute recorded free cash flow of 47% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
On the face of it, Chiyoda Ute's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its net debt to EBITDA was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't such a worry. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Chiyoda Ute's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Chiyoda Ute (including 2 which can't be ignored) .
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:5387
Chiyoda Ute
Chiyoda Ute Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of gypsum boards in Japan.
Adequate balance sheet with proven track record.