The Tochigi Bank, Ltd. (TSE:8550) will pay a dividend of ¥3.00 on the 1st of July. Including this payment, the dividend yield on the stock will be 1.7%, which is a modest boost for shareholders' returns.
Check out our latest analysis for Tochigi Bank
Tochigi Bank Will Pay Out More Than It Is Earning
It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable.
Tochigi Bank has a long history of paying out dividends, with its current track record at a minimum of 10 years. Past distributions unfortunately do not guarantee future ones, and Tochigi Bank's last earnings report actually showed that the company went over its net earnings in its total dividend distribution. This is very worrying for shareholders, as this shows that Tochigi Bank will not be able to sustain its dividend at its current rate.
Earnings per share could rise by 3.8% over the next year if things go the same way as they have for the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the future payout ratio could reach 101%, which probably can't continue without starting to put some pressure on the balance sheet.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥7.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥6.00. This works out to be a decline of approximately 1.5% per year over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
Tochigi Bank May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Earnings have grown at around 3.8% a year for the past five years, which isn't massive but still better than seeing them shrink. The company is paying out a lot of its profits, even though it is growing those profits pretty slowly. Limited recent earnings growth and a high payout ratio makes it hard for us to envision strong future dividend growth, unless the company should have substantial pricing power or some form of competitive advantage.
Tochigi Bank's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Tochigi Bank's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We don't think Tochigi Bank is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Tochigi Bank that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Tochigi Bank not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tochigi Bank might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:8550
Tochigi Bank
Provides various banking products and services for individual and corporate customers in Japan.
Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.