Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into Mitsuba Corporation (TSE:7280) Stock Yet As It Plummets 31%

TSE:7280
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Mitsuba Corporation (TSE:7280) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 31% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 54%, which is great even in a bull market.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Mitsuba's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Auto Components industry in Japan, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Mitsuba

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:7280 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 14th 2024

How Has Mitsuba Performed Recently?

The revenue growth achieved at Mitsuba over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Mitsuba, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Mitsuba's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 7.7% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 28% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 3.9% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Mitsuba's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Mitsuba's P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Mitsuba looks to be in line with the rest of the Auto Components industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We didn't quite envision Mitsuba's P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Mitsuba (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.