Stock Analysis

Rai Way S.p.A. (BIT:RWAY) Yearly Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

BIT:RWAY
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Investors in Rai Way S.p.A. (BIT:RWAY) had a good week, as its shares rose 8.6% to close at €5.19 following the release of its yearly results. It was an okay result overall, with revenues coming in at €272m, roughly what the analysts had been expecting. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Rai Way

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BIT:RWAY Earnings and Revenue Growth March 29th 2024

Following last week's earnings report, Rai Way's three analysts are forecasting 2024 revenues to be €276.0m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €275.6m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.34 in 2024. Overall, while the analysts have reconfirmed their revenue estimates, the consensus now no longer provides an EPS estimate. This implies that the market believes revenue is more important after these latest results.

There's been no real change to the consensus price target of €6.75, with Rai Way seemingly executing in line with expectations. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Rai Way, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at €7.50 and the most bearish at €6.30 per share. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Rai Way is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Rai Way's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 1.5% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 4.2% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 4.3% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Rai Way.

The Bottom Line

The clear take away from these updates is that the analysts made no change to their revenue estimates for next year, with the business apparently performing in line with their models. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Rai Way's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

We have estimates for Rai Way from its three analysts out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Rai Way that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.