Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Reply S.p.A. (BIT:REY) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Reply
What Is Reply's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Reply had €70.6m of debt in June 2024, down from €84.7m, one year before. However, it does have €432.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €361.7m.
How Healthy Is Reply's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Reply had liabilities of €837.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €308.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €432.2m as well as receivables valued at €587.3m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €126.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Of course, Reply has a market capitalization of €5.73b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Reply boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
And we also note warmly that Reply grew its EBIT by 14% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Reply can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Reply has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Reply produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 68% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Reply has €361.7m in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €224m, being 68% of its EBIT. So is Reply's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Reply's earnings per share history for free.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:REY
Reply
Provides consulting, system integration, and digital services based on communication channels and digital media in Italy and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.