Cy4gate S.p.A. (BIT:CY4), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the BIT. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Cy4gate’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
See our latest analysis for Cy4gate
What's The Opportunity In Cy4gate?
The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 13.77% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Cy4gate today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is €8.29, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Cy4gate’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
Can we expect growth from Cy4gate?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Cy4gate's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in CY4’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on CY4, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Cy4gate (including 1 which is concerning).
If you are no longer interested in Cy4gate, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:CY4
Cy4gate
Designs, develops, and produces technologies, products, systems, and services for cyber intelligence and cyber security needs for the companies, public institutions, and police and armed forces in Italy and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.