Stock Analysis

Is Monrif (BIT:MON) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Monrif S.p.A. (BIT:MON) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Monrif

What Is Monrif's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Monrif had €68.2m of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of €17.9m, its net debt is less, at about €50.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BIT:MON Debt to Equity History March 9th 2021

A Look At Monrif's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Monrif had liabilities of €89.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of €96.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €17.9m in cash and €1.16m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €167.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €18.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Monrif would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Monrif's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Monrif made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to €150m, which is a fall of 14%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Monrif's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping €4.6m. Reflecting on this and the significant total liabilities, it's hard to know what to say about the stock because of our intense dis-affinity for it. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost €8.5m in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Monrif (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About BIT:MON

Monrif

Through its subsidiaries, provides publishing, advertising, media, hospitality, and printing services in Italy.

Acceptable track record and slightly overvalued.

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