Stock Analysis

Next Geosolutions Europe's (BIT:NXT) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

Next Geosolutions Europe SpA's (BIT:NXT) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
BIT:NXT Earnings and Revenue History October 2nd 2025
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Examining Cashflow Against Next Geosolutions Europe's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to June 2025, Next Geosolutions Europe recorded an accrual ratio of 0.25. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In fact, it had free cash flow of €19m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of €47.4m. We note, however, that Next Geosolutions Europe grew its free cash flow over the last year.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Next Geosolutions Europe's Profit Performance

Next Geosolutions Europe's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Next Geosolutions Europe's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But at least holders can take some solace from the 31% EPS growth in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Next Geosolutions Europe as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Next Geosolutions Europe (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be familiar with.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Next Geosolutions Europe's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Next Geosolutions Europe might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.