Stock Analysis

Revenues Tell The Story For Iveco Group N.V. (BIT:IVG) As Its Stock Soars 26%

BIT:IVG
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Despite an already strong run, Iveco Group N.V. (BIT:IVG) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 33% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Iveco Group's P/S ratio of 0.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Machinery industry in Italy is also close to 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Iveco Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
BIT:IVG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 3rd 2024

How Iveco Group Has Been Performing

Iveco Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Iveco Group.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Iveco Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 51% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.4% per year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 3.1% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this in mind, it makes sense that Iveco Group's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.

The Key Takeaway

Iveco Group's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look at Iveco Group's revenue growth estimates show that its P/S is about what we expect, as both metrics follow closely with the industry averages. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Iveco Group you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.