Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that ILPRA S.p.A. (BIT:ILP) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Our analysis indicates that ILP is potentially undervalued!
What Is ILPRA's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 ILPRA had debt of €14.8m, up from €9.39m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds €15.1m in cash, so it actually has €310.7k net cash.
A Look At ILPRA's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, ILPRA had liabilities of €25.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €15.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €15.1m and €18.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €6.72m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Of course, ILPRA has a market capitalization of €56.2m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, ILPRA also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
In addition to that, we're happy to report that ILPRA has boosted its EBIT by 40%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ILPRA's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While ILPRA has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, ILPRA's free cash flow amounted to 41% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
While ILPRA does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €310.7k. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 40% over the last year. So we don't think ILPRA's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for ILPRA that you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:ILP
Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.