Returns On Capital At Fincantieri (BIT:FCT) Paint A Concerning Picture
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Although, when we looked at Fincantieri (BIT:FCT), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Fincantieri:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.046 = €115m ÷ (€8.7b - €6.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Therefore, Fincantieri has an ROCE of 4.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Machinery industry average of 7.9%.
Check out our latest analysis for Fincantieri
In the above chart we have measured Fincantieri's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Fincantieri here for free.
The Trend Of ROCE
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Fincantieri, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 9.8%, but since then they've fallen to 4.6%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
Another thing to note, Fincantieri has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 71%. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
In Conclusion...
In summary, Fincantieri is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 60% in the last five years. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Fincantieri has the makings of a multi-bagger.
If you're still interested in Fincantieri it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:FCT
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.