Fincantieri S.p.A.

BIT:FCT Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.8b

Fincantieri Valuation

Is FCT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FCT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FCT (€5.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FCT is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FCT?

Key metric: As FCT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for FCT. This is calculated by dividing FCT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is FCT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
Sales€7.46b
Market Cap€1.85b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does FCT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for FCT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
IVG Iveco Group
0.2x3.3%€2.4b
OMER OMER
1.6x4.1%€118.3m
DNR Industrie De Nora
1.9x6.0%€1.6b
TES Tesmec
0.1x7.4%€35.0m
FCT Fincantieri
0.2x7.2%€1.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: FCT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does FCT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the IT Machinery Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FDA Fidia
0.08xn/aUS$2.43m
No more companies available in this PS range
FCT 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies5PS00.40.81.21.62+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: FCT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the Italian Machinery industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FCT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FCT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: FCT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FCT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.74
€6.03
+5.1%
11.0%€7.20€5.00n/a7
Nov ’25€5.25
€5.80
+10.5%
8.4%€6.50€5.00n/a7
Oct ’25€4.61
€5.57
+21.0%
15.9%€6.50€3.70n/a7
Sep ’25€5.07
€5.67
+11.8%
16.3%€6.50€3.70n/a6
Aug ’25€5.09
€5.70
+12.1%
16.2%€6.50€3.70n/a6
Jul ’25€5.02
€5.22
+4.1%
19.0%€6.22€3.70n/a5
Jun ’25€5.89
€5.85
-0.7%
5.1%€6.20€5.40n/a4
May ’25€7.11
€5.82
-18.1%
4.7%€6.20€5.40n/a5
Apr ’25€6.80
€5.82
-14.4%
4.7%€6.20€5.40n/a5
Mar ’25€4.94
€5.35
+8.4%
4.7%€5.70€5.00n/a4
Feb ’25€4.87
€5.25
+7.8%
5.5%€5.70€5.00n/a4
Jan ’25€5.58
€5.25
-5.9%
5.5%€5.70€5.00n/a4
Dec ’24€5.35
€5.25
-1.9%
5.5%€5.70€5.00n/a4
Nov ’24€5.08
€5.25
+3.3%
5.5%€5.70€5.00€5.254
Oct ’24€4.71
€5.10
+8.3%
7.7%€5.70€4.50€4.615
Sep ’24€5.17
€5.10
-1.4%
7.7%€5.70€4.50€5.075
Aug ’24€5.21
€5.10
-2.1%
7.7%€5.70€4.50€5.095
Jul ’24€5.09
€4.98
-2.3%
9.1%€5.70€4.50€5.024
Jun ’24€5.20
€4.98
-4.3%
9.1%€5.70€4.50€5.894
May ’24€5.53
€4.96
-10.3%
6.9%€5.50€4.50€7.115
Apr ’24€5.92
€4.96
-16.2%
6.9%€5.50€4.50€6.805
Mar ’24€6.07
€5.18
-14.7%
6.0%€5.70€4.90€4.944
Feb ’24€6.12
€5.04
-17.6%
7.7%€5.70€4.50€4.875
Jan ’24€5.31
€5.04
-5.0%
7.7%€5.70€4.50€5.585
Dec ’23€5.52
€5.04
-8.6%
7.7%€5.70€4.50€5.355
Nov ’23€5.24
€5.18
-1.1%
8.6%€5.80€4.50€5.085

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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