Stock Analysis

Cembre S.p.A.'s (BIT:CMB) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?

BIT:CMB
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Cembre's (BIT:CMB) stock is up by a considerable 14% over the past three months. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company’s key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. Specifically, we decided to study Cembre's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Cembre

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cembre is:

11% = €17m ÷ €156m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every €1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of €0.11.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Cembre's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

To begin with, Cembre seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 10%. This probably goes some way in explaining Cembre's moderate 5.6% growth over the past five years amongst other factors.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Cembre's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 0.7% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
BIT:CMB Past Earnings Growth January 4th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Cembre's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Cembre Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 65% (or a retention ratio of 35%) for Cembre suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of its income to its shareholders.

Moreover, Cembre is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 78% over the next three years. Despite the higher expected payout ratio, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Cembre's performance. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's not too bad. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Cembre's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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