Stock Analysis

Strong week for Banca Sistema (BIT:BST) shareholders doesn't alleviate pain of three-year loss

It's nice to see the Banca Sistema S.p.A. (BIT:BST) share price up 13% in a week. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. After all, the share price is down 29% in the last three years, significantly under-performing the market.

The recent uptick of 13% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for Banca Sistema

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

earnings-per-share-growth
BIT:BST Earnings Per Share Growth January 21st 2025

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Banca Sistema's TSR for the last 3 years was -19%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Banca Sistema has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 26% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 0.3% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Banca Sistema better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Banca Sistema you should know about.

We will like Banca Sistema better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Italian exchanges.

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Discover if Banca Sistema might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About BIT:BST

Banca Sistema

Provides various business and retail banking products and services in Italy.

Undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.

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