Stock Analysis

Tata Power (NSE:TATAPOWER) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NSEI:TATAPOWER
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, The Tata Power Company Limited (NSE:TATAPOWER) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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What Is Tata Power's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Tata Power had ₹495.5b in debt in March 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has ₹124.9b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹370.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:TATAPOWER Debt to Equity History July 15th 2023

How Healthy Is Tata Power's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Tata Power had liabilities of ₹440.9b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹488.2b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹124.9b and ₹96.4b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹707.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₹706.5b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Tata Power's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.7) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.5, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Notably, Tata Power's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, which isn't ideal given the debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tata Power's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Tata Power's free cash flow amounted to 29% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Mulling over Tata Power's attempt at covering its interest expense with its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. It's also worth noting that Tata Power is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Tata Power has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Tata Power has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.