If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at NHPC (NSE:NHPC), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on NHPC is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.062 = ₹42b ÷ (₹759b - ₹82b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2021).
Therefore, NHPC has an ROCE of 6.2%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 6.3%.
Check out our latest analysis for NHPC
Above you can see how the current ROCE for NHPC compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering NHPC here for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at NHPC. The company has employed 21% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 6.2%. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
The Bottom Line On NHPC's ROCE
Long story short, while NHPC has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. Since the stock has gained an impressive 61% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
Like most companies, NHPC does come with some risks, and we've found 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
While NHPC isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:NHPC
NHPC
Engages in the generation, sale, and trading of electricity through hydro, wind, and solar power stations in India and Nepal.
High growth potential, good value and pays a dividend.
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