Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As S J Logistics (India) Limited (NSE:SJLOGISTIC) Shares Dive 26%
S J Logistics (India) Limited (NSE:SJLOGISTIC) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.
Even after such a large drop in price, S J Logistics (India)'s price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 52.5x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 28x and even P/E's below 15x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for S J Logistics (India) as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for S J Logistics (India)
Although there are no analyst estimates available for S J Logistics (India), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is S J Logistics (India)'s Growth Trending?
S J Logistics (India)'s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 213% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 75% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that S J Logistics (India) is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On S J Logistics (India)'s P/E
Even after such a strong price drop, S J Logistics (India)'s P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that S J Logistics (India) currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Having said that, be aware S J Logistics (India) is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 3 of those can't be ignored.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SJLOGISTIC
S J Logistics (India)
Provides logistics and supply chain solutions in India and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.