Stock Analysis

Here's Why Cerebra Integrated Technologies (NSE:CEREBRAINT) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NSEI:CEREBRAINT
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Cerebra Integrated Technologies Limited (NSE:CEREBRAINT) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Cerebra Integrated Technologies

What Is Cerebra Integrated Technologies's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2023 Cerebra Integrated Technologies had debt of ₹410.3m, up from ₹324.6m in one year. However, it does have ₹23.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹387.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:CEREBRAINT Debt to Equity History July 20th 2023

How Strong Is Cerebra Integrated Technologies' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Cerebra Integrated Technologies had liabilities of ₹1.40b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹5.03m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹23.0m in cash and ₹1.40b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that Cerebra Integrated Technologies' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the ₹782.9m company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Cerebra Integrated Technologies's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.0) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.98, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Worse, Cerebra Integrated Technologies's EBIT was down 78% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Cerebra Integrated Technologies's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Cerebra Integrated Technologies saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Cerebra Integrated Technologies's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its level of total liabilities is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Cerebra Integrated Technologies's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Cerebra Integrated Technologies has 4 warning signs (and 2 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.