Stock Analysis

Is Avalon Technologies (NSE:AVALON) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:AVALON
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Avalon Technologies Limited (NSE:AVALON) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Avalon Technologies

What Is Avalon Technologies's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Avalon Technologies had ₹1.64b of debt in March 2024, down from ₹3.06b, one year before. However, it does have ₹1.82b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of ₹178.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:AVALON Debt to Equity History June 13th 2024

How Healthy Is Avalon Technologies' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Avalon Technologies had liabilities of ₹2.80b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.03b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹1.82b as well as receivables valued at ₹1.87b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹145.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This state of affairs indicates that Avalon Technologies' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the ₹33.5b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Avalon Technologies also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Importantly, Avalon Technologies's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 58% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Avalon Technologies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Avalon Technologies may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Avalon Technologies saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Avalon Technologies has ₹178.9m in net cash. Despite the cash, we do find Avalon Technologies's EBIT growth rate concerning, so we're not particularly comfortable with the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Avalon Technologies is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Avalon Technologies is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.