Stock Analysis

Do These 3 Checks Before Buying Tech Mahindra Limited (NSE:TECHM) For Its Upcoming Dividend

NSEI:TECHM
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Tech Mahindra Limited (NSE:TECHM) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next four days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Therefore, if you purchase Tech Mahindra's shares on or after the 19th of July, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 9th of August.

The company's next dividend payment will be ₹28.00 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed ₹40.00 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Tech Mahindra has a trailing yield of approximately 2.7% on its current stock price of ₹1505.05. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! As a result, readers should always check whether Tech Mahindra has been able to grow its dividends, or if the dividend might be cut.

Check out our latest analysis for Tech Mahindra

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Tech Mahindra distributed an unsustainably high 150% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without extenuating circumstances, we'd consider the dividend at risk of a cut. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Dividends consumed 70% of the company's free cash flow last year, which is within a normal range for most dividend-paying organisations.

It's good to see that while Tech Mahindra's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

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NSEI:TECHM Historic Dividend July 14th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Tech Mahindra's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 11% a year over the previous five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the last 10 years, Tech Mahindra has lifted its dividend by approximately 41% a year on average. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Tech Mahindra is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.

To Sum It Up

Is Tech Mahindra an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? Earnings per share have been shrinking in recent times. Worse, Tech Mahindra's paying out a majority of its earnings and more than half its free cash flow. Positive cash flows are good news but it's not a good combination. It's not that we think Tech Mahindra is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

With that being said, if you're still considering Tech Mahindra as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Tech Mahindra you should know about.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tech Mahindra might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.