Stock Analysis

Thangamayil Jewellery Limited's (NSE:THANGAMAYL) Stock Retreats 27% But Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

NSEI:THANGAMAYL
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Thangamayil Jewellery Limited (NSE:THANGAMAYL) shares have retraced a considerable 27% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 33%, which is great even in a bull market.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 32x, you may still consider Thangamayil Jewellery as a stock to avoid entirely with its 53.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Thangamayil Jewellery hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Thangamayil Jewellery

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:THANGAMAYL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 14th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Thangamayil Jewellery will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Thangamayil Jewellery's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Thangamayil Jewellery's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 15%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 59% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 44% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Thangamayil Jewellery is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price drop, Thangamayil Jewellery's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Thangamayil Jewellery maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Thangamayil Jewellery you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Thangamayil Jewellery might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.