Stock Analysis

Concerns Surrounding Redtape's (NSE:REDTAPE) Performance

NSEI:REDTAPE
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The recent earnings posted by Redtape Limited (NSE:REDTAPE) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Redtape

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:REDTAPE Earnings and Revenue History June 6th 2024

A Closer Look At Redtape's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Redtape recorded an accrual ratio of 0.32. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of ₹351m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of ₹1.76b. We also note that Redtape's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of ₹351m.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Redtape.

Our Take On Redtape's Profit Performance

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Redtape didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Redtape's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But at least holders can take some solace from the 24% EPS growth in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for Redtape and we think they deserve your attention.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Redtape's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.