Stock Analysis

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About PC Jeweller's (NSE:PCJEWELLER) Returns On Capital

NSEI:PCJEWELLER
Source: Shutterstock

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating PC Jeweller (NSE:PCJEWELLER), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for PC Jeweller, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.09 = ₹3.9b ÷ (₹79b - ₹35b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).

Thus, PC Jeweller has an ROCE of 9.0%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Specialty Retail industry average of 15%.

Check out our latest analysis for PC Jeweller

roce
NSEI:PCJEWELLER Return on Capital Employed September 6th 2021

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating PC Jeweller's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

The Trend Of ROCE

In terms of PC Jeweller's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 30% over the last five years. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.

On a side note, PC Jeweller has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 45% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE. Either way, they're still at a pretty high level, so we'd like to see them fall further if possible.

In Conclusion...

In summary, we're somewhat concerned by PC Jeweller's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Unsurprisingly then, the stock has dived 89% over the last five years, so investors are recognizing these changes and don't like the company's prospects. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

On a final note, we found 4 warning signs for PC Jeweller (2 don't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

While PC Jeweller may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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