Stock Analysis

Orchid Pharma Limited's (NSE:ORCHPHARMA) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 72% Share Price Bounce

NSEI:ORCHPHARMA
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Orchid Pharma Limited (NSE:ORCHPHARMA) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 72% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 214% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in India's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.6x, you may consider Orchid Pharma as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Orchid Pharma

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:ORCHPHARMA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 28th 2024

What Does Orchid Pharma's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Orchid Pharma as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Orchid Pharma.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Orchid Pharma's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 28% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 84% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 26% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 12%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Orchid Pharma's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Orchid Pharma have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Orchid Pharma's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Orchid Pharma is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is concerning.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Orchid Pharma is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.