Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Cinevista Limited (NSE:CINEVISTA) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Cinevista
What Is Cinevista's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Cinevista had debt of ₹159.5m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from ₹260.9m over a year. On the flip side, it has ₹17.1m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹142.4m.
How Healthy Is Cinevista's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Cinevista had liabilities of ₹802.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹159.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹17.1m in cash and ₹40.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹944.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₹1.03b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Cinevista will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Cinevista made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to ₹4.6m, which is a fall of 42%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Cinevista's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₹25m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled ₹189m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Cinevista (3 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:CINEVISTA
Cinevista
Produces television serials, ad commercials, and feature films in India and internationally.
Slight and slightly overvalued.