Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Cinevista Limited (NSE:CINEVISTA) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Cinevista
What Is Cinevista's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Cinevista had ₹878.7m of debt, up from ₹652.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₹62.4m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹816.3m.
How Healthy Is Cinevista's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Cinevista had liabilities of ₹71.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹878.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹62.4m as well as receivables valued at ₹4.70m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹883.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₹1.18b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Cinevista's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Cinevista reported revenue of ₹12m, which is a gain of 21%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Cinevista had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping ₹410m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through ₹152m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Cinevista (including 3 which are a bit unpleasant) .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:CINEVISTA
Cinevista
Produces television serials, ad commercials, and feature films in India and internationally.
Slight and slightly overvalued.