Stock Analysis

UltraTech Cement (NSE:ULTRACEMCO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

NSEI:ULTRACEMCO
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that UltraTech Cement Limited (NSE:ULTRACEMCO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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What Is UltraTech Cement's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 UltraTech Cement had debt of ₹103.0b, up from ₹99.0b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹62.7b, its net debt is less, at about ₹40.3b.

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NSEI:ULTRACEMCO Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024

A Look At UltraTech Cement's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that UltraTech Cement had liabilities of ₹269.1b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹136.1b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹62.7b in cash and ₹42.9b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹299.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, UltraTech Cement has a titanic market capitalization of ₹2.84t, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Carrying virtually no net debt, UltraTech Cement has a very light debt load indeed.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

UltraTech Cement's net debt is only 0.31 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 10.1 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also positive, UltraTech Cement grew its EBIT by 27% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine UltraTech Cement's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, UltraTech Cement recorded free cash flow of 32% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

The good news is that UltraTech Cement's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like UltraTech Cement is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for UltraTech Cement that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.