Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Put UltraTech Cement (NSE:ULTRACEMCO) On Your Watchlist?

NSEI:ULTRACEMCO
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It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. And in their study titled Who Falls Prey to the Wolf of Wall Street?' Leuz et. al. found that it is 'quite common' for investors to lose money by buying into 'pump and dump' schemes.

So if you're like me, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like UltraTech Cement (NSE:ULTRACEMCO). While profit is not necessarily a social good, it's easy to admire a business that can consistently produce it. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

See our latest analysis for UltraTech Cement

UltraTech Cement's Earnings Per Share Are Growing.

As one of my mentors once told me, share price follows earnings per share (EPS). That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. Who among us would not applaud UltraTech Cement's stratospheric annual EPS growth of 45%, compound, over the last three years? While that sort of growth rate isn't sustainable for long, it certainly catches my attention; like a crow with a sparkly stone.

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. UltraTech Cement shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 15% to 21%, and revenue is growing. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in my book.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:ULTRACEMCO Earnings and Revenue History August 23rd 2021

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of UltraTech Cement's forecast profits?

Are UltraTech Cement Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like the kids in the streets standing up for their beliefs, insider share purchases give me reason to believe in a brighter future. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. Of course, we can never be sure what insiders are thinking, we can only judge their actions.

Although we did see some insider selling (worth -₹41m) this was overshadowed by a mountain of buying, totalling ₹1.6b in just one year. This makes me even more interested in UltraTech Cement because it suggests that those who understand the company best, are optimistic. Zooming in, we can see that the biggest insider purchase was by Chairman Kumar Birla for ₹497m worth of shares, at about ₹4,522 per share.

On top of the insider buying, it's good to see that UltraTech Cement insiders have a valuable investment in the business. To be specific, they have ₹3.0b worth of shares. That's a lot of money, and no small incentive to work hard. Despite being just 0.1% of the company, the value of that investment is enough to show insiders have plenty riding on the venture.

Is UltraTech Cement Worth Keeping An Eye On?

UltraTech Cement's earnings have taken off like any random crypto-currency did, back in 2017. Just as heartening; insiders both own and are buying more stock. Because of the potential that it has reached an inflection point, I'd suggest UltraTech Cement belongs on the top of your watchlist. Before you take the next step you should know about the 2 warning signs for UltraTech Cement that we have uncovered.

The good news is that UltraTech Cement is not the only growth stock with insider buying. Here's a list of them... with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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