Stock Analysis

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Ramkrishna Forgings Limited (NSE:RKFORGE)

NSEI:RKFORGE
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Ramkrishna Forgings Limited's (NSE:RKFORGE) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 42.5x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 32x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Ramkrishna Forgings could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Ramkrishna Forgings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:RKFORGE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 11th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Ramkrishna Forgings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Ramkrishna Forgings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 17% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 28% as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 25% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Ramkrishna Forgings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Ramkrishna Forgings' P/E?

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Ramkrishna Forgings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Ramkrishna Forgings.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ramkrishna Forgings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.