Stock Analysis

Is Orient Abrasives (NSE:ORIENTABRA) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:ORIENTCER
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Orient Abrasives Limited (NSE:ORIENTABRA) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Orient Abrasives

What Is Orient Abrasives's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Orient Abrasives had ₹277.6m of debt in September 2021, down from ₹348.8m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹122.4m, its net debt is less, at about ₹155.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:ORIENTABRA Debt to Equity History December 4th 2021

How Healthy Is Orient Abrasives' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Orient Abrasives had liabilities of ₹1.12b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹127.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹122.4m as well as receivables valued at ₹850.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹273.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Orient Abrasives shares are worth a total of ₹3.45b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Orient Abrasives's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.59 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.4 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Orient Abrasives if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 39% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Orient Abrasives will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Orient Abrasives generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 94% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Orient Abrasives's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow is pretty flash. Considering this range of data points, we think Orient Abrasives is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Orient Abrasives you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.